Week 3 DFS Report: Bop or Flop

Breaking down one Bop (Great Play) & one Flop (Bad Play) from each matchup in the Main Fanduel DFS Slate this week.

Green Bay Packers @ Cleveland Browns

Over/Under – 41.5 | Line – GB -7.5

Implied Team Totals – GB - 24.5 / CLE – 17

Bop – Green Bay Packers D/ST - $5,000

The Green Bay Packers defense was good last year, and the addition of Micah Parsons has boosted them to elite status.  They face the Cleveland Browns who are tied for the lowest Implied Team Total on the FanDuel main slate. Start them with confidence.

Flop – Quinshon Judkins, RB - $5,600

Quinshon Judkins looked good in his first NFL start last week, but this week is a terrible matchup for the Browns as a whole, but particularly the RBs.  The Packers’ defense has given only 39 rushing yards per game, and the Browns are projected to be down early. Avoid the Browns backfield.

Indianapolis Colts @ Tennessee Titans

Over/Under – 43.5 | Line – IND – 4.5

Implied Team Totals – IND - 24 / TEN – 19.5

Bop – Tony Pollard, RB - $6,100

Tony Pollard has been the bell cow for the Tennessee Titans so far this season with Tyjae Spears on IR, and that will continue in week 3 against the Indianapolis Colts. He has averaged 19 carries a game, and will continue that trend this week, with a decent chance to score his first TD of the year.

Flop – Daniel Jones, QB - $7,800

Daniel Jones has been one of the biggest surprises of the season so far, as he is 2^nd in PPG for QBs after 2 weeks.  The matchup for him in week 3 is not bad, but his price has risen to a point where the value is gone, and I would much rather more proven, consistent QBs in his current price range. Good play in season long leagues, not in DFS. 

Cincinnati Bengals @ Minnesota Vikings

Over/Under – 42.5 | Line – MIN -3

Implied Team Totals – MIN – 22.5 / CIN – 19.75

Bop – Jordan Mason, RB - $5,800

With Aaron Jones landing on IR with a hamstring injury, Jordan Mason steps in as the Minnesota Vikings’ starting RB for at least the next 4 weeks. He was already leading the Vikings in rush attempts, so that will get a boost on top of some more receiving opportunities. He faces the Cincinnati Bengals who give up the 3^rd most FanDuel PPG to RBs so far this season. Mason will not the price going forward, so take advantage while you can.

Flop – Tee Higgins, WR - $7,200

Joe Burrow suffered a turf toe injury that will more than likely knock him out for at least the fantasy football season, and that sinking tide lowers all ships, mainly Tee Higgins. He was always going to be a secondary target to Ja’Marr Chase, and with Jake Browning starting at QB, Higgins takes a bigger hit.  The Minnesota Vikings are currently the 3^rd worst matchup for WRs, so keep Higgins far away from your DFS lineups.

Pittsburgh Steelers @ New England Patriots

Over/Under – 44.5 | Line – PIT -1.5

Implied Team Totals – PIT - 23 / NE – 21.5

Bop – Drake Maye, QB - $7,300

After a subpar week 1, Drake Maye bounced back in week 2, putting up 230 passing yards and 2 pass TDS along with 31 rushing yards and a rushing TD.  He will get a chance to repeat that performance against a Pittsburgh Steelers defense that has struggled this year.  They have been destroyed by Justin Fields and Sam Darnold, and I expect Drake Maye to have a similar performance.

Flop – TreVeyon Henderson, RB - $5,200

TreVeyon Henderson was one of the biggest hyped rookies due to his preseason performance, but that has not carried over to the regular season.  It is clear he has the explosiveness to make big plays, but that only matters if you get the opportunities to do so.  He has just 16 total touches in 2 games, and plugging him in DFS lineups without seeing more is not recommended. 

Los Angeles Rams @ Philadelphia Eagles

Over/Under – 44.5 | Line – PHI -3.5

Implied Team Totals – PHI 24 / LAR – 20.5

Bop – Saquon Barkley, RB - $8,900

Saquon Barkley hasn’t gotten the same production as he did in his record breaking 2024 season, he has gotten plenty of usage, totaling 40 rush attempts and 7 targets, and that is what we care about in DFS.  The matchup is not very good against the Los Angeles Rams this week, but Saquon has proven he is matchup proof. With all of the Tush Push nonsense going on in the news this week, Saquon getting a bigger workload this week is not out of the realm of possibility.

Flop – DeVonta Smith, WR - $6,100

Devonta Smith normally crushes when Dallas Goedert doesn’t play, as he missed week 2, but Smith was lackluster only putting up 4 catches for 53 yards.  Goedert is expected to be back in a bad matchup for WRs, and the Eagles seem content running the air out of the ball, so I am avoiding Devonta Smith in week 3.

New York Jets @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Over/Under – 44.5 | Line – TB -6.5

Implied Team Totals – TB – 25.5 / NYJ - 19

Bop – Mike Evans, WR - $7,600

Mike Evans leads the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in targets, receptions, and receiving yards so far in 2025. He has 0 TDs which has lowered his DFS price, and that is where we want to strike.  The New York Jets secondary is a plus matchup for WRs, and Emeka Egbuka is banged up, so Mike Evans is a top tier play in all DFS formats in week 3.

Flop – Garrett Wilson, WR - $6,900

After a stellar week 1, Garrett Wilson struggled in week 2, and with Justin Fields out with a concussion, Garrett Wilson doesn’t appear to be in line to bounce back.  The Tampa Buccaneers are a negative matchup for WRs so far this year. They give up the 6^th fewest yards per target, 3^rd fewest TDs, and 5^th fewest FanDuel PPG to WRs.  Avoid all Jets pass catchers until further notice.

Las Vegas Raiders @ Washington Commanders

Over/Under – 44.5 | Line – WAS -3.5

Implied Team Totals – LV – 20.5 / WAS - 24

Bop – Jacory Croskey-Merritt, RB - $5,500

Jacory Croskey-Merritt is finally in the role he was getting hyped for during draft season after the Austin Ekeler season-ending injury.  He faces the Las Vegas Raiders who are a bad matchup on paper, but the expected usage is enough to overlook that this week. The Commanders are favored, and Jayden Daniels is knicked up, so Bill will get work early and often.

Flop – Ashton Jeanty, RB - $6,800

Ashton Jeanty has been the driver of the Rookie RB Struggle Buss of 2025, and we do not like it.  The workload isn’t bad, but the production has been horrific.  The Raiders face the Washington Commanders who are a little banged up, which will help Jeanty’s workload stay consistent, but in DFS, there are better values at much better prices I prefer to throw in a lineup.

Atlanta Falcons @ Carolina Panthers

Over/Under – 43.5 | Line – ATL -5.5

Implied Team Totals – ATL – 24.5 / CAR - 19

Bop – Atlanta Falcons D/ST - $3,800

The Atlanta Falcons spent two 1^st round picks on their defensive line in this year’s draft, and it is paying dividends.  They held the Minnesota Vikings to 9 points in week 2 and they get a great matchup in week 3 against the Carolina Panthers.  The Panthers are the 3^rd best matchups for D/STs this season, and the Falcons give up the and fewest PPG. At $3,800, don’t over think it.

Flop – Chuba Hubbard, RB - $6,700

Chuba Hubbard has been one of the safest plays in both season-long fantasy and DFS the past few years. This week, I feel like the risk is not worth the reward.  The Falcons are favored which doesn’t bode well for Hubbard’s, and Atlanta has yet to give up a TD to RB this year.  Pass on Hubbard this week.

Houston Texans @ Jacksonville Jaguars

Over/Under – 44.5 | Line – JAC -1.5

Implied Team Totals – JAC - 23 / HOU – 21.5

Bop – Nico Collins, WR - $7,800

Nico Collins is among the 1^st round WRs that have been struggling, but there is light at the end of the tunnel in the form of the Jacksonville Jaguars defense.  In the last 3 games against the Jaguars, Nico Collins has averaged 9 catches, 125 yards, and 2 total TDs.  I fully anticipate a bounce back for Nico in week 3. 

Flop – Travis Hunter, WR - $5,600

Travis Hunter might be the most talented player in the NFL, but that matters little in terms of his DFS viability.  He only has 9 catches in games, and the week 2 workload was half of his week 1 workload.  His overall talent may be a detriment, because he is playing more on defense, which will take away from his offensive ceiling. Stay away until we see more consistency.

Denver Broncos @ Los Angeles Chargers

Over/Under – 44.5 | Line – LAC -3

Implied Team Totals – LAC - 23.75 / DEN - 20.75

Bop – Adam Trautman, TE - $4,300

The Los Angeles Chargers and the Denver Broncos both have great defense so it was tough to find a Bop in this matchup.  The Chargers weakness so far this season has been defending the TE, mainly because they played a future hall of famer and 2^nd year phenom thus far. With Even Engram potentially out, Trautman will step in and get those snaps. If you are looking for a super cheap TE, you can do a lot worse than Trautman.

Flop – J.K. Dobbins, RB - $6,400

J.K. Dobbins has been the superior back for the Denver Broncos thus far this season, doubling rookie R.J. Harvey in carries and yards in the first 2 weeks of 2025.  This week, however, I recommend to stay away, mainly due to the matchup against his former team, the Los Angeles Chargers.  The Chargers give up the 3^rd fewest rushing yards, 2^nd fewest FanDuel PPG, and haven’t given up a TD to the running back position.  Fade all Denver RBs in DFS.

New Orleans Saints @ Seattle Seahawks

Over/Under – 41.5 | Line – SEA -7.5

Implied Team Totals – SEA – 24.5 / NO - 17

Bop – Kenneth Walker III, RB - $6,800

Kenneth Walker bounced back from a bad week 1 to run for over 100 yards and a TD in week 2.  He is the more explosive back in the Seattle backfield, and with Zach Charbonnet banged up, Walker will get plenty of work in week 3.  The Seahawks are favored by more than a TD, so expect a heavy workload early and often for K9.

Flop – Chris Olave, WR - $6,100

Chris Olave and Rashid Shaheed are in a bad spot this week against a stingy Seattle defense, but I would fade Olave if left with the choice.  Olave is the least likely to break a big play, which is what will be needed to have any production against the #1 defense against WR.  If you feel like you just HAVE to plus a Saints WR in your DFS lineup, choose Rashid Shaheed. 

Chicago Bears @ Dallas Cowboys

Over/Under – 50.5 | Line – CHI -1

Implied Team Totals – CHI – 25.75 / DAL – 24.75

Bop – Dak Prescott, QB - $7,300

Every year, there is a defense that we love to target every week.  After 2 weeks, the Chicago Bears defense appears to be THAT defense, which is a great thing for the Dallas Cowboys offense in week 3, specifically Dak Prescott.  Chicago has given up the most FanDuel PPG to QBs, allowed the most yards per game to QBs, and allow the most FanDuel PPG to QBs.  Start Dak and stack him with any of his options you can afford.

Flop – Colston Loveland, TE - $4,500

Colston Loveland is fitting right along with all the rookie RBs who have not lived up the hype thus far, as he was the 1^st TE in the draft a few months ago.  He has total of 3 targets, 2 catches and 12 receiving yards in 2 games.  If you are thinking of playing him in this game with the highest O/U on the slate by far, I wouldn’t recommend it.  Dallas is the 3^rd worse matchup for TEs this season. Stay Away!

Arizona Cardinals @ San Francisco 49ers

Over/Under – 44.5 | Line – SF -2.5

Implied Team Totals – SF – 23.5 / ARI - 21

Bop – Christian McCaffrey, RB - $9,100

So far in 2025, Christian McCaffrey has quelched the fears of season long fantasy owners, and DFS owners who have rostered him this season. He is 2^nd in the league in Fantasy PPG, and averages the most FanDuel PPG on the week 3 main slate. McCaffrey is my favorite elite play at RB on the slate. Roster him with confidence.

Flop – James Conner, RB - $7,500

The Arizona Cardinals are currently 2-0, but not thanks to the performance of their #1 RB, James Conner, is actually being outrushed by #2 RB Trey Benson by 10 on half the carries, as well as being out-targeted by 2 as well.  The 49ers are bottom 8 matchup for RBs so far this season.  If you feel that you must start a Cardinals RB, I would recommend Trey Benson for the savings, but avoid both if possible. 

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