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Fantasy Football Preview: Bop or Flop 2023 – AFC EAST

Draft Season is here! Bestball Leagues are flowing! The NFL Preseason is upon us. Drafthustle is here to get you ready to dominate your drafts and get to the money and the trophies! This is part of a series I am titling "Bop or Flop". From each team, I will be choosing one player I am high on (Bop), and one player I am avoiding in fantasy drafts at cost for the 2023 season (Flop). You can check out my rankings here!

Buffalo Bills

BOP – Gabriel Davis, WR

FantasyPros ADP – WR42, #100 Overall

DH Rank – WR34

Last year, I was out on Gabriel Davis at his 4th round ADP. This year, I am all over his current 9th round ADP and I am willing to draft him as high as the 7th round as my WR3. He is healthy and Josh Allen is healthy, and I expect them to regain the deep ball rapport than had drafters wanting to draft him as high as round 4 in the first place.

FLOP – Dalton Kincaid, TE

FantasyPros ADP – TE13, #121 Overall

DH Rank – TE22

One of the things that experienced fantasy players have known for years is to never trust rookie TEs. Even the best TE prospect of all time, Kyle Pitts, couldn’t be the exception to the rule. Dalton Kincaid is cool, but I am not willing to bet on him being the one to break the mold. Dawson Knox in the Bills TE I would be more willing to draft based on his price, especially if I pass on an elite option early in the draft.

Miami Dolphins

BOP – Jeff Wilson Jr., RB

FantasyPros ADP – RB54, #158 Overall

DH Rank – RB48

Assuming Miami doesn’t add a veteran Rb before week 1, Jeff Wilson Jr. is currently my favorite Dolphins RB to draft. In ambiguous backfields such as Miami’s, I will usually favor the guy being drafted last. Jeff Wilson led the team in carries, rush yards, and rush TDs last year, so he will most likely get the first bite of the apple to start the season. If he turns out to be dust, then moving on from him won’t be a big deal given his current price.

FLOP – Jaylen Waddle, WR

FantasyPros ADP – WR11, #25 Overall

DH Rank – WR15

I admit I was wrong on Jaylen Waddle last year, but this is a new year and a new season! My issue is with his overall ranking more so than his positional ranking. He shows up higher in my projections than he does in my rankings. Spending 2nd round draft capital on Team WR2s just will never sit right with me. If by some miracle Waddle starts to slip to the late 3rd round come late August, I will gladly draft him, but I don’t see that happening.

New England Patriots

BOP – DeVante Parker, WR

FantasyPros ADP – WR84, #259 Overall

DH Rank – WR65

It’s tough finding Patriots pass catchers to get excited about these days, but Devante Parker’s price is intriguing. He was given a new 3-year contract by the Patriots, which tells me that he will be a part of the offense to some extent. He is more viable in bestball formats as opposed to lineup setting leagues, but I can see a path to him being start worthy in 3WR leagues during the heavy bye weeks.

FLOP – Mike Gesicki, TE

FantasyPros ADP – TE26, #191

DH Rank – TE28

This one is a bit nitpicky. Mike Gesicki has one of the best Gritty Touchdown celebrations of all time, but he has been a fantasy dud the past few seasons. I don’t see myself drafting a Patriots’ TE in a typical redraft league as I see Gesicki and Henry having an even target share split. Drafting Mike Gesicki only makes sense in a bestball format when I am looking to stack him with Mac Jones.

New York Jets

BOP – Tyler Conklin, TE

FantasyPros ADP – TE28, #204 Overall

DH Rank – TE21

TEs have been solid fantasy options for Aaron Rodgers throughout his career. Since he became the starter in 2008, Rodgers has had a TE finish top 20 in .5 PPR formats 6 times, including 3 of the last 5 years. Tyler Conklin finished as TE16 in 2022 with the likes of Zach Wilson, Mike White, and Joe Flacco throwing him the ball. With Aaron Rodgers at the helm, I see TE16 as his floor, which makes him a great value compared to his current ADP of TE28.

FLOP – Aaron Rodgers, QB

Underdog ADP – QB12, #111 Overall

DH Rank – QB17

Having Aaron Rodgers as my QB17 has nothing to do with his NFL impact. Back in his prime, his rushing ability made him a perennial top 10 fantasy QB, but he just doesn’t run anymore. He has averaged just 114 rush yards per season over the last 3 seasons. The Jets want to be a run first team, which limits Aaron Rodgers’s Pass TD ceiling, and leaves him out of QB1 territory for me. Once Hard Knocks starts, the hype and his ADP will only grow. Stay Away!

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