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Fantasy drafts are starting to ramp up as we get closer to the start of the 2023 NFL season. Having done over 100 bestball drafts so far this season, I have a pretty good idea on how I will draft in my season long leagues, as well as what the good and bad values are for all your favorite players. Over the next few days, I will be giving my overall strategy and other bits of advice on drafting the 4 primary Fantasy Football positions in 2023. For more tools to help you during your draft, including, rankings, tiers, and Depth charts, be sure to check the Draft Hustle Season-long One Stop Shop here.
Draft Strategy
There was a clear line of demarcation between the top 3 QBs in 2022 (Jalen Hurts/Josh Allen/Patrick Mahomes) and the rest of the quarterbacks and drafts so far have reflected that. I have generally tended to wait on QBs, but this year is different. I have the top 3 ranked in top 24 players overall and would draft them all in round 2, depending on whether I want to stack them with their top pass catcher. If I pass on those guys After that, Lamar Jackson and Justin Fields are my favorite picks in rounds 4 & 5 respectively. Justin Herbert, my favorite bounce back QB, is a great pick in round 6, especially if I drafted one of his weapons in the 1st 5 rounds. I am lower on Joe Burrow than most, so he tends to be drafted ahead of where I prefer to take him.
If I don’t draft someone in the top 7, Anthony Richardson is my next target. His rushing ability gives him weekly top 5 upside. I will draft him as early as round 8, and pair him with a safer guy from the top of my QB2 range (Geno Smith/Kirk Cousins/Daniel Jones/Aaron Rodgers) a few rounds later.
In Superflex leagues, I am also drafting QBs much earlier than I have in years past. I will typically take 2 QBs with my first 3 picks because I believe my ability to build a solid roster of skill position players is better than most. Drafting 2 QBs early also leaves you wiggle room to snatch up a 3rd QB should a decent option fall down the draft board.
How Many QBs do I feel comfortable starting in week 1? - 16
Based on my current rankings, I can get all the to my QB16 (Aaron Rodgers) in drafts and feel good about starting them in at least week 1.
How many QBs do I NOT need to draft a backup for? - 14
I am comfortable with 14 of my top 15 QBs being the only QB I draft in non-Superflex leagues, with Anthony Richardson being the only exception.
Favorite tiers to draft from? - Tier 2
Lamar Jackson in round 4, Justin Fields in round 5, and Joe Burrow/Justin Herbert in round 6 are my preferred QB selections.
How many QBs can finish as QB1? - 8
My top 7 QBs along with Anthony Richardson.
Breakout – Tua Tagovailoa
Health, both his and Terron Armstead’s, is the only thing that has me nervous about Tua this season. He has the weapons and the scheme to finish as a top 5 QB if he plays 17 games.
Lottery Ticket – Anthony Richardson
Fantasypros has Anthony Richardson’s ADP at QB16. If he plays 17 games, he will crush that easily.
Bust – Trevor Lawrence
Still can’t get Jiggy with his QB8 ADP in round 5. Too soon, bro.
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